Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.037773 0.041190 0.044644 0.048389 0.052331 0.056350 0.060750
2025-09-14 0.032773 0.037849 0.043161 0.049109 0.055558 0.062317 0.069910
2025-09-21 0.028671 0.034898 0.041619 0.049356 0.057959 0.067179 0.077754
2025-09-28 0.026175 0.033368 0.041345 0.050742 0.061408 0.073046 0.086609
2025-10-05 0.022950 0.030680 0.039487 0.050101 0.062390 0.076024 0.092151
2025-10-12 0.020647 0.028839 0.038407 0.050173 0.064029 0.079625 0.098301
2025-10-19 0.018991 0.027616 0.037917 0.050813 0.066228 0.083788 0.105037
2025-10-26 0.017745 0.026784 0.037802 0.051816 0.068786 0.088324 0.112177
2025-11-02 0.015329 0.024280 0.035477 0.050005 0.067878 0.088720 0.114437
2025-11-09 0.013809 0.022825 0.034363 0.049588 0.068571 0.090939 0.118778
2025-11-16 0.012485 0.021533 0.033371 0.049248 0.069295 0.093148 0.123073
2025-11-23 0.011990 0.021346 0.033788 0.050672 0.072180 0.097950 0.130460
2025-11-30 0.011320 0.020888 0.033847 0.051659 0.074572 0.102230 0.137329
2025-12-07 0.010562 0.020250 0.033627 0.052262 0.076473 0.105918 0.143511
2025-12-14 0.009726 0.019434 0.033119 0.052450 0.077826 0.108925 0.148872
2025-12-21 0.009356 0.019300 0.033536 0.053857 0.080736 0.113863 0.156604
2025-12-28 0.008371 0.018130 0.032437 0.053177 0.080918 0.115387 0.160145
2026-01-04 0.007690 0.017394 0.031913 0.053244 0.082044 0.118075 0.165109
2026-01-11 0.007232 0.016985 0.031838 0.053906 0.083936 0.121718 0.171255
2026-01-18 0.006906 0.016776 0.032043 0.054945 0.086323 0.125992 0.178195
2026-01-25 0.005877 0.015256 0.030210 0.053063 0.084772 0.125223 0.178820
2026-02-01 0.005282 0.014454 0.029426 0.052631 0.085134 0.126875 0.182460
2026-02-08 0.004754 0.013726 0.028719 0.052277 0.085579 0.128618 0.186207